Ark projects Bitcoin could grow at a roughly 63% annual pace to $16 trillion by 2030, while showing signs of lower volatility as it increasingly behaves like a safe-haven asset.

In its Big Ideas 2026 report published Wednesday, the firm says digital assets could reach $28 trillion in market value by 2030. That is up from about $3.13 trillion today, a jump of roughly 9x.

Ark Sees Bitcoin Market Cap Climbing To $16 Trillion By 2030

Based on Ark’s forecast, Bitcoin’s market cap could rise at a compound annual growth rate of about 63% during the next five years, climbing from nearly $2 trillion to $16 trillion by 2030.

Institutional ownership is a big part of that story. Ark said U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs and public companies held about 12% of the total Bitcoin supply, up from 8.7%, after Bitcoin ETF balances rose 19.7% in 2025 from about 1.12M to about 1.29M, and public company holdings jumped 73% from roughly 598,000 to about 1.09M.

Smart Contract Networks Could Grow At A 54% Annual Pace

Ark’s report kept Ethereum in the lead when it comes to on-chain assets, saying assets on Ethereum now exceed $400B. It also said stablecoins and the top 50 tokens make up about 90% of market value across seven of the eight most popular blockchains.

Ark Sees Long Runway For Tokenization Despite Small Current Share

Ark said meme coins remain a small part of most blockchains, making up about 3% or less of capital outside Solana.

Solana is the exception, where meme coins account for about 21% of assets. The firm also said tokenization of real-world assets could be one of the fastest-growing areas, as off-chain assets offer the biggest opportunity for on-chain growth.

Sources >> Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest Forecasts Nearly 9× Growth in Digital Assets to $28 Trillion by 2030